<aside> 💡 Note: You may only see a subset of the listed options. These are determined by your licensed access permissions.
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There are multiple ways to view the forecast.
Forecast - view forecasts and hindcasts.
Model Comparison- compare forecasts across multiple models in a single view
Forecast Evolution - view forecasts across multiple initialization dates for the same valid date range
Thresholds - view the Probability of exceedance
Choose the system of measurement you want to use.
SI - International System of units is the metric system.
US - United States measurement system commonly used in the United States and most U.S. territories.
Display forecasts | hindcasts for the selected region.
Limit your view to a specific area by selecting from a list of shapefiles that may be associated with your account. See Upload Shapefiles and Locations for additional detail.
See Forecasts and Hindcasts for additional details.
| Model | Description |
|---|---|
| Salient v8 or v9 | The Salient Blend model is a multi-model blend of our proprietary AI models (natively probabilistic and calibrated by design) with properly calibrated dynamical (GEFS and ECMWF) models |
| NOAA GEFS v12 | Global Ensemble Forecast System, version 12 |
| ECMWF ENS | European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Ensemble Extended range |
| ECMWF SEAS5 | European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, fifth generation seasonal forecast system |
| 30 year Climatology | 30-year stationary baseline with smoothing and no trend. It is probabilistic and properly cross-validated. This is equivalent to NOAA’s normals, e.g. 1991-2020, 1981-2010, 1971-2000. |
| Salient Climatology | Salient’s proprietary 40-year trailing average based on the global ERA5 dataset. It includes a linear estimate of trend and is smoothed/tuned for optimal performance. We apply a series of low-pass filtering operations to remove day to day noise, but maintain the sharpness of seasonal transitions to improve the usability and accuracy of our proprietary climatology. It is probabilistic and properly cross-validated. Reliability diagrams and the tercile (above-below-near normal) view are based on the Salient climatology. |
| 10 year Normal | Simple 10 year trailing average |
| 5 year Normal | Simple 5 year trailing average |
Display the forecast for a specific percentile of the forecast distribution between 1 and 99. The default is 50.